Study: Democrats’ capital gains tax hike could cost more than 745,000 jobs

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Regional Economic Models Inc. projects enactment of STEP Act would result in GDP loss of $824 billion and private investment decline of $612 billion over a 10-year period.

A new Democratic proposal to increase the capital gains tax could cost 745,000 jobs, a study published by the Regional Economic Models Inc. (REMI) projects.

The Sensible Taxation and Equity Promotion (STEP) Act, which would tax unrealized capital gains when heirs inherit assets, among other things, would have a “significantly negative impact” on the economy, including average job losses of 745,000 over 10 years, the report found.

The analysis, conducted for the Committee to Unleash Prosperity, found that sustained annual job losses from eliminating a tax benefit on appreciated assets known as the step-up in basis could eliminate between 537,000 to 949,000 jobs, with models predicting a base of 745,000 lost jobs through 2030.

Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) introduced the STEP Act, which seeks to eliminate the step-up in basis and trigger immediate capital gains taxes for those whose assets are transferred by gift, in trust or upon death. It still maintains the existing $1 million exemption.

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